Probably one more rate rise this year

04.07.2008

We at Eurointelligence are sticking with our forecast of another ECB rate rise at some point this year. The reason is not that the ECB is already planning this - it is not. The reason that most forecasters are still too optimistic about the outlook for inflation.


Beyond 4.25%

06.06.2008

We predicted last time that the next movement in interest rates would be a rate rise. In today's ECB Watch we look beyond July's rate increase. Where will the ECB stop?


So how about this rate increase?

22.04.2008

Believe it or not: The ECB policy stance is not neutral anymore. The central bank is more likely to raise interest rates now than to cut them.


Ten reasons to leave the euro-dollar exchange rate alone

19.03.2008

We have been hearing a lot of anguished comment about the euro-dollar exchange rate. Here are ten reasons why we should leave the euro/dollar exchange rate alone.


A Run on America

17.03.2008

This crisis will mean three things: the end of the US as the world sole economic superpower; the end of the dollar as the global reserve currency, and its replacement by the euro; and the de facto end of Anglo-Saxon transaction-based financial capitalism.


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