Elimination of CDS as the necessary prerequisite for recovery

08.01.2009

By: Svetlana Boyarchenko and Sergei LevendorskiÄ­

Credit default swaps are so toxic that they have to be eliminated before any meaningful recovery can take place.


2009 Prospects – Trench Warfare

08.01.2009

By: Satyajit Das

And this is the author's outlook for 2009.


How abnormal was the stock market in October 2008?

11.11.2008

By: Paul De Grauwe, Leonardo Iania, Pablo Rovira Kaltwasser

Last month saw a stock market move with a probability of occurring only once in 73,357,946,799,753,

900,000,000 years. What does this tell us about modern finance?


The case for a conservative approach to Bretton Woods II

03.11.2008

By: By Alberto Alesina and Francesco Giavazzi

The finance industry has made serious mistakes in the past. But it has also been an engine of growth. Allowing politicians to redesign rules with a punitive spirit would be a cure worse than the disease.








Eurointelligence Briefing Notes

Is there a house price bubble in the Euro Area?

Some of the big questions facing the US at the moment is the extent of the housing recession, and the implication for the wider economy. Another issue is whether the US housing recession will spill over into the euro area. In the past, housing shocks were transmitted across the Atlantic. Will it happen again?The first thing to note is that there is a high correlation between house prices in the US and in Europe, and especially with France and Spain. In a recent analysis, Deutsche Bank producing a scoring model to identify the sensitivity of European house prices to change in US house prices, and concluded that Ireland and Spain are most vulnerable to a slowdown in US housing. They conclude that any bad news from the world economy will not be compensated by housing, as happened in 2001,...


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