The case against the optimists
14.07.2010
By: Wolfgang Münchau
There are two kinds of euroyone optimists: stupid ones, and dangerous ones.
Why the optimists are wrong about the eurozone
01.06.2010
By: Wolfgang Münchau
The optimists have not had a good crisis so far. This will not change.
Why Greece will default
01.04.2010
By: Wolfgang Münchau
So, does last week’s agreement mean an end of the Greek crisis, as some of the optimists claim? Let us start with some simple back of the envelope analysis of Greek debt sustainability. This will show that default - under any realistic political and social assumptions - must now be the most probable outcome.
US health care reform - an unintended stimulus
By: Adam Posen
Health care reform legislation – the extension of health insurance to millions of uncovered Americans – will pass the US Congress in some form soon, despite the Democrats’ loss of a Senate seat Even if partial at best,this is a long overdue catch-up of American social justice in an essential area with the rest of the civilized world. It will be a huge triumph and hugely expensive. What gets overlooked is that it will also have the effect of being the second US fiscal stimulus package following the global crisis, with substantial effects on the rest of the world as a result.








