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More formidable people than Giorgia Meloni have tried to change the EU from within. They all failed.

16 April 2024

Where Meloni will fail

The SPD used to define itself in terms of the German-Russian relationship. Now what?

09 April 2024

We have to talk about the SPD

The German recession will end soon, but structurally weak growth will persist.

26 March 2024

Why Germany declines

When countries are divided, talk about strategic ambiguity will be interpreted as a bluff.

19 March 2024

The limits of strategic ambiguity

Olaf Scholz is turning his reluctance on Ukraine into his main re-election campaign theme.

12 March 2024

Back to scholzing

Ursula von der Leyen will have to bend over backwards to get sufficient support for a second term.

06 March 2024

Von der Leyen, 2.0

It is time for a strategic rethink on Ukraine. Total victory is no longer a realistic goal

29 February 2024

On second-best outcomes

With the return of austerity to Europe, financial aid for Ukraine is now competing with green investments

20 February 2024

Guns or Trees or Factories

The German government is a crisis - the chancellor's leadership style is not helping, but it is not the cause.

13 February 2024

Fall and decline of Olaf Scholz 

Demonstrations against the far-right an an exercise in virtue signalling.

06 February 2024

Solve the Problem

The EU should focus on its long-term interests, and not obsess about the US.

30 January 2024

If Trump wins, then what?

One of the many ailments of the west is a generalised attention-deficit hyper-activity disorder that has swept into politics.

23 January 2024

Why the West is in decline

There will be no Nexit under Wilders, but he will oppose the most important things the EU does.

05 December 2023

The Wilders effect

We should start to prepare for disappointment - our geopolitical conflicts do not look like they will end in glorious victory.

28 November 2023

Will the West lose all of its battles?

A Spanish amnesty law for Catalan independence leaders is turning into a nightmare for the EU

21 November 2023


Bidenomics is the antithesis to Clintonomics - on macroeconomic policy, on trade policy, and on regulation. Don't try it at home.

14 November 2023

Bidenomics is not working

The west's assertive foreign policy agenda is reaching its limits.

07 November 2023

Where the west ends

The former co-leader of the Left Party offers an entirely new deal - a social policy of the left, with themes of the right.

31 October 2023

Watch out for Sahra Wagenknecht

The war in the Middle East has divided Europeans - but not for the obvious reason

24 October 2023

Identity politics meets the real world

Old German divisions resurface as the country shifts away from Russia and reliance on heavy industries.

10 October 2023

Where has Germany gone wrong?