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Despite military setbacks, Vladimir Putin is still on course to achieve his strategic targets.

20 March 2022

The cheerleading has to stop

On the impossibility of isolating a large country in the 21st century.

13 March 2022

A BRIC, impenetrable to sanctions

It is our continued flow of money that has paved the way for Vladimir Putin’s war. Time to end it.

04 March 2022

Time to ban energy imports

Last week, war returned to Europe. And it shifted the policy debate in Germany. A good start.

27 February 2022

Is Germany changing?

The Tories got Brexit done, but failed to deliver a post-Brexit strategy. This strengthens the case for a reversal.

20 February 2022

How to undo Brexit: A Users' Manual

The stand-off in Ukraine reveals the west at its weakest and most divided. Time for a rethink.

13 February 2022

How to play Putin

Germany pretends to be a reliable Nato partner, while having its special relationship with Russia. Time for some uncomfortable questions.

06 February 2022

The two Germanys

An event intruded, and more will. Those plotting to topple the UK prime minister were not prepared.

30 January 2022

Moment to depose Johnson has passed

The battle for European integration has failed. It is time to recognise defeat, and to think through the consequences.

23 January 2022

When did we lose the fight?

... Europe will appease

16 January 2022

When Russia invades...

Modern central banking has more characteristics of a Ponzi scheme than bitcoin or ether.

09 January 2022

Let's talk Ponzi

Lord Frost's resignation goes to the heart of what's wrong with the Johnson administration. And it has nothing to do parties.

19 December 2021

What Johnson needs to do - but won't

The best economic news from Europe right now is the phenomenal growth in high-tech start-ups. But it is mostly a UK story.

12 December 2021

Unicorns everywhere

Journalists should stick to writing first drafts of history. The second draft is for future historians.

05 December 2021

View from the 22nd century

Olaf Scholz managed to put together an improbably ambitious coalition, but there is reason to be sceptical.

27 November 2021

Berlin Spring

The current Covid-19 wave has hit Germany particularly hard, and has exposed weaknesses in how the country is governed.

21 November 2021

Germany's federal virus

Crypto and artificial intelligence are biggest political disruptors of our time.

14 November 2021

The great disruptor

Why it is not a bad thing for EU and UK to reset their relationship, and start with a clean slate.

07 November 2021

A toxic relationship

Beware of allowing hindsight bias to get in the way of your political judgement

31 October 2021

About forecasting

Inflation models are worse then useless. They make central banks complancent.

24 October 2021

The porcupine flips