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Economic forecasts, epidemiological projections and opinion polling are wrong and biased. A bad combination.

06 November 2020

What the porcupine tells us

The last thing the Europeans should do after a Biden victory is trying to revert to the comforts of the old relationship.

01 November 2020

Trump's shadow

It's quite possible that Europe is celebrating the wrong Hamilton moment. The real one remains as elusive as ever.

26 October 2020

That other Hamilitonian moment

EU-UK talks are too toxic right now. Better for UK to exit without a deal, and make a fresh start in 2021.

19 October 2020

Time to pull the plug

The ECB should not reconsider its inflation target. It should reconsider inflation targeting.

12 October 2020


The north-south divide is now the biggest threat to the EU. It's about culture more than economics.

04 October 2020

North versus south