It is not possible to assess the probability of a nuclear war, based on the information we have now.

The bigger danger is not what Giorgia Meloni will do to the EU, but what the EU will do to her.

One of the future power configurations in German politics, the Jamaica Coalition, is no longer feasible.

Europe maybe at the beginning of an unusually severe recession, one that won't auto-reverse

In truth, the euro area's sovereign debt crisis never ended. We just chose to look the other way.

Boris Johnson's departure is ultimately about Brexit, but this will not become clear for a while.

Germany is fretting about a cold winter as Vladimir Putin may be about to unleash his strongest weapon yet.

The ECB is intent to resist market pressure to bail out governments. But it may struggle.

Part of the cryptoverse is a bubble. But not all of it.

This column makes the unfashionable case for a diplomatic solution to the war in Ukraine

The world's economic inter-dependencies are manifold and mutual. Sanctions have large network effects.

UK media and think tanks still dominate the debate about future European integration. That will not always be so.

The EU's oil sanctions provide an incentive for Vladimir Putin to cut off gas supplies. Are we ready for this?

Germany's corporatist model was reliant for its survival on cosy relations with Russia. Now what?

The German chancellor's communication on arms deliveries is puzzling. He is either hiding information or lying.

It is time to consider the reality that nobody is winning this war.

Germany and Italy are the financial sponsors of Russian war crimes. This gas deliveries have to end now.

Joe Biden's comments about regime change are a reminder that we can't leave the strategic thinking to the Americans.

Despite military setbacks, Vladimir Putin is still on course to achieve his strategic targets.

On the impossibility of isolating a large country in the 21st century.