Without fundamental reform to the way the EU works, Ukraine cannot become a member

If the EU sticks to its fiscal rules, it won't have enough money for its geopolitical ambitions. www.eurointelligence.com

How wishful thinking is dominating western commentary about Russia and Ukraine

In politics interests should determine our relationships, not the other way round. This is especially true for the EU-UK and the transatlantic relationships.

Germany's recession is not your run-of-the-mill economic downturn.

Never have the Greens been more powerful. Now the backlash starts in earnest.

Industries that have left, won't easily come up. The west's strategy of re-industrialisation is unlikely to work.

With inflation - as with Brexit - policy advocacy of the left no longer works for the constituency of the left

The west is at risk of winning the battle over Ukraine, but losing the bigger confrontation against China.

The dollar is the unchallenged global currency, for good reason. There are circumstances where that might change.

Europe's centrist parties have entered a period of secular decline.

Europe cannot afford to align itself with the US on China. It would be economic catastrophic, and politically unsustainable.

Germany has taken over the UK's role as the leader of the EU's awkward squad

The eurozone's next debt crisis is more likely to be a German than an Italian one.

There are three parallels to the 1970s, but one crucial difference that swings the balance.

The fundamental weakness of the western position is lack of an agreed war goal in Ukraine. This will come to haunt us.

While Giorgia Meloni claims she wants her country to stay in the eurozone, its deep economic problems might pull her in another direction.

The EU has changed since Brexit. For those in the UK who wanted to rejoin, this poses big problems.

The trade figures don't tell us the whole story. De-globalisation is happening because geopolitics is intruding.

Rishi Sunak should not make promises about inflation. There is no scenario in which it works for him politically.